HomecampaignStefanik narrowly leading Hochul in NY gov race: Poll

Stefanik narrowly leading Hochul in NY gov race: Poll

campaignOctober 28, 2025
3 min read
Stefanik narrowly leading Hochul in NY gov race: Poll
Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) is leading incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-N.Y.) in the New York gubernatorial race, according to new polling.  In a poll released Tuesday, the Manhattan Institute, a conse...
Reading Settings

Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) is leading incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-N.Y.) in the New York gubernatorial race, according to new polling. 

In a poll released Tuesday, the Manhattan Institute, a conservative think tank, finds Stefanik getting 43 percent support compared to Hochul's 42 percent — a statistical tie that still gives the House Republican a slight edge. 

Nine percent of those surveyed said they support someone else, while 7 percent said they are "not sure." 

The results mark a major reversal from just a couple of months ago, when an August Siena College poll showed Hochul with a 14-point lead over Stefanik.

The two have targeted each other in recent remarks and ads, with the GOP representative slamming Hochul for endorsing New York City Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani. The same Manhattan Institute survey found Mamdani holding a commanding lead over former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (I).

“New Yorkers of all political parties are hungry for new commonsense leadership after decades of Hochul’s failed single party Democrat rule,” Bernadette Breslin, Stefanik’s campaign spokesperson said in a statement.

“Elise Stefanik and the people of New York can and will win this righteous fight to Save New York,” she added.

Stefanik made similar comments during a mid-September appearance on Fox News’s “Fox and Friends.” 

 “Well, Kathy Hochul is the worst governor in America, and it was only a matter of time before she bent the knee for this raging antisemite communist,” Stefanik said during an appearance on Fox News’s “Fox and Friends.”

Hochul did not immediately respond to The Hill’s request for comment on the new poll. 

But more recently, Hochul criticized the Republican Party for using racially offensive language while commenting on the news earlier this month about a Young Republicans group chat where Nazi terminology was used.

“We have a leader from the Republican Party in this state, the highest ranking individual, who in the backdrop of all this calls our candidate for mayor, one of our candidates for mayor, a jihadist and a terrorist,” Hochul said, referring to comments made about Mamdani. 

“And then somehow says, ‘oh, what they said, these young Republicans was wrong.’ Like, look at what you say yourself. Look at your inflammatory words,” she added. “And maybe they have an effect on these young people, many of whom you support and have supported you. And you ought to just do a little reexamination of how far this has gone.”

The Manhattan Institute poll reached 300 likely voters across the state from Oct. 22-26, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Source: The Hill - News

Share this article

Related Articles

2025 election results reveal choice for Democrats in 2026, 2028
Nov 106 months ago

2025 election results reveal choice for Democrats in 2026, 2028

The 2025 election results provide an opportunity for Democrats to choose between relying on an anti-Trump message or inspiring voters with a bold economic vision, and the choice will decide the future...

{"_":"https://thehill.com/?p=5598047","$":{"isPermaLink":"false"}}6 min read
Read More
Christine Pelosi passes on bid for retiring mother's House seat
Nov 106 months ago

Christine Pelosi passes on bid for retiring mother's House seat

Christine Pelosi is running for office, but not for her mother’s seat. Pelosi, the daughter of retiring Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), announced Monday she is running to represent San Francisco in the ...

{"_":"https://thehill.com/?p=5598878","$":{"isPermaLink":"false"}}2 min read
Read More
Jeffries says Democrats will ‘definitely’ win back House control in 2026
Nov 106 months ago

Jeffries says Democrats will ‘definitely’ win back House control in 2026

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said on Sunday he’s confident Democrats will take back the House in the 2026 midterm elections and is optimistic about his party’s chances to win back co...

{"_":"https://thehill.com/?p=5598012","$":{"isPermaLink":"false"}}2 min read
Read More
O'Reilly on Democrat's 2025 election sweep: 'People were angry'
Nov 086 months ago

O'Reilly on Democrat's 2025 election sweep: 'People were angry'

Political commentator Bill O'Reilly suggested Friday that Tuesday's blue election sweep can be tracked to voters' issues with affordability and a rising cost of living just 10 months into President Tr...

{"_":"https://thehill.com/?p=5596742","$":{"isPermaLink":"false"}}3 min read
Read More